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Carlsberg AS (OCSE:CARL A) Beneish M-Score : -4.68 (As of Dec. 12, 2024)


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What is Carlsberg AS Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Good Sign:

Beneish M-Score -4.68 no higher than -1.78, which implies that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.

The historical rank and industry rank for Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

OCSE:CARL A' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.68   Med: -2.72   Max: -2.23
Current: -4.68

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Carlsberg AS was -2.23. The lowest was -4.68. And the median was -2.72.


Carlsberg AS Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Carlsberg AS Beneish M-Score Chart

Carlsberg AS Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.69 -2.93 -2.23 -3.20 -4.68

Carlsberg AS Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -3.20 - -4.68 -

Competitive Comparison of Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score

For the Beverages - Brewers subindustry, Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the Beverages - Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Carlsberg AS's Beneish M-Score falls into.



Carlsberg AS Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Carlsberg AS for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 0.9556+0.528 * 1.0228+0.404 * 1.0281+0.892 * 1.0472+0.115 * 1.0503
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.9932+4.679 * -0.468519-0.327 * 1.1233
=-4.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Dec23) TTM:Last Year (Dec22) TTM:
Total Receivables was kr7,578 Mil.
Revenue was kr73,585 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr32,832 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr30,198 Mil.
Total Assets was kr111,831 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr24,405 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr4,074 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr22,432 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr47,230 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr30,763 Mil.
Net Income was kr-40,788 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr0 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was kr11,607 Mil.
Total Receivables was kr7,572 Mil.
Revenue was kr70,265 Mil.
Gross Profit was kr32,067 Mil.
Total Current Assets was kr34,249 Mil.
Total Assets was kr115,341 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was kr23,679 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was kr4,187 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was kr21,566 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was kr48,747 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was kr22,865 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(7578 / 73585) / (7572 / 70265)
=0.102983 / 0.107763
=0.9556

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(32067 / 70265) / (32832 / 73585)
=0.456372 / 0.446178
=1.0228

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (30198 + 24405) / 111831) / (1 - (34249 + 23679) / 115341)
=0.511736 / 0.497767
=1.0281

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=73585 / 70265
=1.0472

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(4187 / (4187 + 23679)) / (4074 / (4074 + 24405))
=0.150255 / 0.143053
=1.0503

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(22432 / 73585) / (21566 / 70265)
=0.304845 / 0.306924
=0.9932

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((30763 + 47230) / 111831) / ((22865 + 48747) / 115341)
=0.697418 / 0.620872
=1.1233

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-40788 - 0 - 11607) / 111831
=-0.468519

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Carlsberg AS has a M-score of -4.68 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.


Carlsberg AS Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Carlsberg AS Business Description

Address
J.C. Jacobsens Gade 1, Copenhagen, DNK, 1799
Carlsberg is the fourth-largest brewer in the world following the combination of Anheuser-Busch InBev and SABMiller, with major operations in Europe and Asia. It holds leading share in Scandinavia, Switzerland, Portugal, Laos, Nepal, and parts of western China. Its key brands include Carlsberg, 1664, Tuborg, Holsten, and Somersby. The company's 2023 beverage volume, excluding Russia, was split among Northern and Western Europe (35%), Eastern Europe (26%), and Asia (39%).

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